This study estimated the post-release survival of inshore finfish with current commercial minimum legal sizes—blue cod, blue moki, butterfish, kingfish, red moki, red cod, sand flounder, snapper, tarakihi, trevally, and yellowbelly flounder—and those currently allowed to be returned under disposal code X— kingfish, rig, sand flounder, school shark, rough skate, smooth skate, and spiny dogfish.

A questionnaire was developed and circulated to fishers, fishery observers, and scientists with knowledge of each species to obtain their estimates of at-release survival (i.e., the probability the fish/shark was alive when put back into water) and post-release survival (the probability an individual was both alive at release and survived following release). Estimates were obtained for each gear type as well as fishing categories within each gear type, e.g., duration, depth, and bag size. For some species, estimates of post- release survival were informed by literature on the survival of same or similar species.

These data were used with fishery characterisations to model the survival for each species. For species with a minimum legal size, both at-release and post-release survival estimates were used, whereas for those species released under disposal code X, which may only be released if alive and likely to survive, only the post-release survival estimates were used.

The post-release survival from longlines for snapper, kingfish, and rough skate (assuming they are released alive) was “medium-high”, i.e., the lower bootstrapped 90% confidence range was lower than 0.50, but greater than 0.25, and upper 90% confidence range exceeded 0.75. The same survival range was estimated for snapper caught in pots. For snapper, this result was based on expert knowledge and incorporated literature-based mean values based on empirical studies for this species in New Zealand.

However, for rough skate, the result was based on the informed opinion of 2 science experts only (at-vessel survival was assumed to be 100%) and without the benefit of literature-based empirical estimates as none exist for this species. If at-release survival estimates are included for kingfish, the range decreases to “medium”. For blue cod, and other sharks, skates, and rays, survival from capture on bottom longline was “medium-low”. Red cod survival was “low”, and an “uncertain” outcome was applied to smooth skate and blue moki due to the lack of available knowledge. For species such as spiny dogfish and school shark, the lower range of perceived survival was at least partially a result of the wide range of depths where these species are discarded, which includes deepwater fisheries with larger vessels and potentially different handling practices.

Post-release survival of most species from trawl gear was perceived to be “medium-low” at best, with 90% confidence range either spanning 0.25 up to but less than 0.75, or else between 0.25 and 0.5. Blue cod, red cod, flatfish, and tarakihi were considered in the “low” range, where the 90% confidence range did not exceed 0.25. Survival of both rough and smooth skates in trawl gear was “uncertain”, based on the lack of empirical data for these species and the wide range of estimates for related species in overseas fisheries. Where bottom trawl with a Modular Harvest System cod-end was considered as a separate gear, the lack of available data on this gear type meant survival was considered “uncertain”. For set net, the perceived survival of all species where this gear was considered an important method, was “medium-low”.

The species-method survival confidence ranges presented in this report are based on the best currently available expert knowledge and thorough reviews of the current survival literature; as such, these ranges are unlikely to be improved upon without further investment in release survival research.