Climate change will influence future production of agricultural commodities (where “agriculture” includes pastoral farming, cropping, horticulture and forestry) in Aotearoa New Zealand and elsewhere, affecting global supply and demand, and altering trade patterns. This project used a large dimensional global trade, climate and economic model to forecast the impacts of climate change on supply and demand for NZ agricultural products, hence associated impacts on trade patterns and pest/disease redistributions, both at the national and regional level. This will help identify future market access opportunities and biosecurity policy needs.

Independent Report

This report summarises the findings of the “Principles of Ecosourcing” project, conducted with funding from Te Uru Rākau – New Zealand Forest Service under Statement of Work C0036181. Project activities reported on here include:
• Review of existing ecosourcing literature, including consideration of the effects of climate change
• Interviews focussing on perceptions and drivers of ecosourcing and assisted migration
• Wānanga feedback sessions evaluating the representative nature of the information collected from the literature and interviews